Urartu vs Noah

Noah arrives in exceptional form (DWWWD, 3W-2D-0L in last 5) with a remarkable 16 goals scored and only 4 conceded, demonstrating dominant attacking and defensive output. The model assigns Noah a 40.4% away win probability while the odds imply only ~62.5%, suggesting mild value. Urartu's home form is inconsistent (2W-1D-2L) with a balanced 4 goals for and 4 against, and the odds market has drifted toward Noah with a significant movement flagged (home price lengthened from 4.40 to 4.95).