Saint-Étienne vs Nice

Saint-Étienne vs Nice is a Ligue 1 Play-off fixture with meaningful stakes, and both teams have shown they can score. Saint-Étienne scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches while conceding 5, and Nice scored 4 while conceding 7. The model gives this a 43% home win probability with a 55% confidence rating — the highest confidence in the dataset. Both teams have been involved in matches where goals flow in both directions, and the play-off context typically produces open, competitive football. Odds movement has drifted toward home, suggesting Saint-Étienne are expected to be competitive and score.