01
XG GAP
SARM OUT-CREATED 5.9–1
Expected goals split 1.29–0.22. The chances story matches the scoreboard.
1.29–0.22
EXPECTED GOALSFinal score: Sarmiento 2–0 Huracán. SupaBola's model rates this Sarmiento 26% · Draw 45% · Huracán 29% (as of 16 Aug 2026, 05:43 SGT). Predictions are social play in $BOLA, not real-money betting.
Kickoff: 17 Aug 2026, 02:00 SGT · League: Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Status: Finished · Last updated: 16 Aug 2026, 05:43 SGT
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Sarmiento took it by 2. 3 angles below explain how.
Expected goals split 1.29–0.22. The chances story matches the scoreboard.
1 red card swung the game state. Numerical edge shows up in xG and territory.
0/2 model tiers landed. Basic backed draw — actual was home. Training data.

