01
XG GAP
CRZ OUT-CREATED 2.2–1
Expected goals split 2.87–1.31. The chances story matches the scoreboard.
2.87–1.31
EXPECTED GOALSFinal score: Cruzeiro 3–1 Athletico PR. SupaBola's model rated this Cruzeiro 37% · Draw 23% · Athletico PR 40% (as of 7 Sept 2026, 06:04 SGT). Predictions are social play in $BOLA, not real-money betting.
Kickoff: 7 Sept 2026, 03:00 SGT · League: Serie A · Status: Finished · Last updated: 7 Sept 2026, 06:04 SGT
Cruzeiro took it by 2. 3 angles below explain how.
Expected goals split 2.87–1.31. The chances story matches the scoreboard.
0/2 model tiers landed. Basic backed draw — actual was home. Training data.
7–2 on corners. Box-attack ratio tilted heavily one way.


Final: Cruzeiro 3–1 Athletico PR. This one's settled — take the next one.
Virtual $BOLA — brag rights only, never real money.