01
XG GAP
GVFC OUT-CREATED 2.1–1
Expected goals split 1.66–0.80. The chances story matches the scoreboard.
1.66–0.80
EXPECTED GOALSFinal score: Gil Vicente 2–0 Casa Pia. SupaBola's model rated this Gil Vicente 32% · Draw 52% · Casa Pia 16% (as of 23 Aug 2026, 03:18 SGT). Predictions are social play in $BOLA, not real-money betting.
Kickoff: 25 Aug 2026, 03:15 SGT · League: Liga Portugal · Status: Finished · Last updated: 23 Aug 2026, 03:18 SGT
Gil Vicente took it by 2. 3 angles below explain how.
Expected goals split 1.66–0.80. The chances story matches the scoreboard.
0/1 model tiers landed. Basic backed draw — actual was home. Training data.
GVFC found the killer second goal and managed the rest.


Final: Gil Vicente 2–0 Casa Pia. This one's settled — take the next one.
Virtual $BOLA — brag rights only, never real money.