01
XG GAP
SCP OUT-CREATED 3.8–1
Expected goals split 1.73–0.45. The chances story matches the scoreboard.
1.73–0.45
EXPECTED GOALSFinal score: Sporting CP 3–1 Alverca. SupaBola's model rated this Sporting CP 55% · Draw 35% · Alverca 10% (as of 20 Aug 2026, 18:50 SGT). Predictions are social play in $BOLA, not real-money betting.
Kickoff: 23 Aug 2026, 03:30 SGT · League: Liga Portugal · Status: Finished · Last updated: 20 Aug 2026, 18:50 SGT
Sporting CP took it by 2. 3 angles below explain how.
Expected goals split 1.73–0.45. The chances story matches the scoreboard.
Basic called it right. Top conviction: 55%.
SCP found the killer second goal and managed the rest.


Final: Sporting CP 3–1 Alverca. This one's settled — take the next one.
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