Shenzhen Peng City vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Shenzhen Peng City have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches (1.6 per game) while conceding 12 (2.4 per game), demonstrating both attacking output and defensive vulnerability. Chongqing have scored in recent matches (4 goals in last 5) and Shenzhen's leaky defense (12 GA in 5 games) makes it highly likely the visitors will find the net. The Tier 2 model with 844 data points shows a genuinely open three-way contest (30.8/37.1/32.1), which typically correlates with both teams being motivated to attack. Significant odds movement toward the away team also suggests Chongqing are expected to be competitive and score.