Changchun Yatai vs Nanjing City

Changchun Yatai have scored 9 and conceded 11 in their last 5 matches — a highly open defensive record averaging 4.0 goals per game involved. Nanjing City, despite poor form (1W-4L), have still been involved in matches producing 13 combined goals across 5 games. The combined goals-per-game average across both sides' recent fixtures strongly supports an over outcome. Odds of 1.85 imply a 54.1% probability, while the underlying data suggests closer to 63-65% likelihood of 3+ goals.