Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio

Tier 2 prediction with 747 data points and 0.93 confidence (highest in the dataset) gives Montevideo City Torque a 31.2% win probability, but critically the odds movement is strongly in the home direction — market shifted from 1.95 to 1.83, signaling sharp money on the home side. Torque's form is strong (3W-1D-1L, 11 goals scored in last 5), while Danubio have failed to win any of their last 5 (3D-2L, only 3 goals scored). The model's draw probability of 50.9% may be overstated given Danubio's toothless attack.