Zira vs Paide

Zira show strong home form with 3 wins in last 5 (10 goals scored, 5 conceded) and the market has moved decisively in their favor — odds shortened from 1.28 to 1.19 with significant movement flagged, indicating sharp money on Zira. Paide's away odds drifted dramatically from 11 to 14.75, reinforcing market confidence in the home side. The model's 33% home win probability is conservative relative to the market pricing, and Zira's attacking output (10 goals in 5 games) supports a home victory.